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Fix the 3-year dispatch forecast misprediction

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Overdue by 6 month(s)
Due by October 10, 2025
Last updated Dec 26, 2025

Agents consistently mispredict dispatch results at the 3-year deterministic crossover point. This misprediction seems to be more severe than would be anticipated based on limitations of the decision algorithm. I need to:

  • Verify that the misprediction is real (rather than a postprocessing limitation) by saving interim agent forecasts of generation unit financial results
  • Identify possible causes of the issue and investigate each one
  • Develop a test case to conclusively identify when the issue has been fixed
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