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🌍 Cotonou Zero Carbon City (CZC)

A Hyper-Localized and Data-Driven Action Plan


🎯 Targeted Urban Problem

Cotonou's Triple Environmental Crisis

Cotonou is suffocating under the combined effect of:

  • 🌫️ Air pollution
  • 🌊 Lagoon degradation
  • 🌡️ Urban heat islands

Unequal impact: This problem is not uniform and particularly affects dense and disadvantaged neighborhoods.

🏭 Identified Pollution Epicenters

Zone Main Problem Impact
Dantokpa Market Atmospheric and water pollution Critical epicenter
Godomey industrial zone Industrial emissions Targeted pollution
Mineralized neighborhoods (Gbegamey, Saint-Jean) Heat islands Urban furnaces

🛰️ NASA Data Used

Real-Time Application and Cotonou Context

Using recent data (2023-2024) and directly exploitable NASA products

🌬️ Air Quality

Data: Level 2 TROPOMI/Sentinel-5P (tropospheric NO₂)

Cotonou Application:

  • Geographic zone: 6.25°N, 2.25°E to 6.45°N, 2.45°E
  • Concrete observation: Analysis of January 15, 2024
  • NO₂ plume: Cardinal Bernardin Gantin International Airport → City center
  • Critical peak: 125 µmol/m² at Dantokpa intersection

🔥 Fine Particles and Fires

Data: MODIS (Terra/Aqua) Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) and Fire Hotspots

Cotonou Application:

  • Critical period: Dry season (November-February)
  • Affected zones: 12th District and Akpakpa
  • Correlation: Heat points in agricultural areas of Sèmè-Kpodji

🌡️ Heat Islands and Lagoon Health

Data: Landsat 9 - OLI (Optical) and TIRS (Thermal Infrared)

Cotonou Application: Processing of a scene from February 10, 2024

Heat Island Results
  • Gbegamey (dense neighborhood): 38°C
  • Marina (green neighborhood): 29°C
  • Critical difference: 9°C gap
Lagoon Results
  • Detected eutrophication: High chlorophyll-a concentration
  • Location: Cotonou canal mouth
  • Cause: Organic discharges

🔬 Analysis Methodology

1. 📊 Descriptive Analysis: "Cotonou's 2024 State of Affairs"

Method: Mapping of pollution and heat "hotspots"

Concrete Results

NO₂: "The highest level is recorded in the 1st District (Dantokpa, Gbégamey), exceeding by 60% the levels of the 13th District (Cocotiers)."

Heat islands: "The most intense heat island is located in Gbegamey, with an average surface temperature 5°C higher than the city's periphery."

2. 🔍 Diagnostic Analysis: "Root Causes in Cotonou"

Method: Spatial regression analysis crossing NASA data and field data

Concrete Results

Traffic vs NO₂: "The regression between traffic data (OpenStreetMap) and TROPOMI NO₂ shows that traffic at Dantokpa intersection alone explains 35% of the variance in NO₂ levels within a 2 km radius (R²=0.35)."

Urbanization vs Temperature: "The correlation between urbanization index (dense built-up) and Landsat surface temperature is r=0.78 for the neighborhoods of Ladji, Vêdoko and Zongo."

3. 🔮 Predictive Analysis: "Cotonou in 2026 if nothing changes"

Method: Random Forest model fed by NASA trends and population projections (WorldPop)

Concrete Results

Heat islands: "The model predicts that if urban sprawl continues at the current rate, the area of critical heat islands (surface T° > 36°C) will expand by 25% by 2026, particularly affecting the neighborhoods of Fifadji and Hlankou."

Fine particles: "The average annual PM2.5 concentration (derived from AOD) in the 1st District should increase by 12%, from 45 µg/m³ to 50.4 µg/m³."

4. 💡 Prescriptive Analysis: "Most Effective Solutions by Neighborhood"

Method: Impact simulation based on the predictive model

Concrete Results

Green corridor: "Creating a 1km green corridor along Saint-Michel Boulevard (Gbegamey to St-Jean) would reduce surface temperature by 2.5°C within a 300m radius."

Pedestrianization: "Partial pedestrianization of Dantokpa surroundings would reduce NO₂ concentrations by 25% in the neighborhood."


🚀 Proposed Solutions

🏪 "Dantokpa Breathes Plan" (1st District)

Action:

  • Implementation of a restricted traffic zone (RTZ) during peak hours
  • System based on NO₂ peak predictions
  • Installation of low-cost sensors for satellite data validation

Data Justification:

  • Most critical point identified by predictive analysis
  • Strongest impact demonstrated by prescriptive analysis

🌳 "Anti-Heat Green Belt" (From 12th to 5th District)

Action:

  • Priority tree planting program with high canopy coverage
  • Targeting arteries of Gbegamey, Ladji and Vêdoko neighborhoods
  • Focus on the most severe heat island corridor

Data Justification:

  • Corridor identified by Landsat TIRS data
  • Quantified cooling: -2.5°C

🌊 "Lagoon Sentinel" (Canal Mouth)

Action:

  • Deployment of an alert system based on Landsat OLI imagery
  • Automatic triggering of field inspections during chlorophyll peaks
  • Identification of pollution sources (industrial/domestic) in Godomey or Akpakpa

Data Justification:

  • Critical eutrophication point identified by descriptive analysis

📈 Expected Impact

👥 Impact on Population (by 2026)

🏥 Health

  • Targeted 15% reduction in asthma attacks among children in the 1st District thanks to the "Dantokpa Breathes Plan"

🏠 Quality of Life

  • Perceptible decrease in summer temperature in Gbegamey and Ladji households
  • Reduction in energy expenses for air conditioning

⚖️ Equity

  • Targeted solutions prioritizing popular and dense neighborhoods
  • Reduction of pollution burden on the most vulnerable populations

🌍 Environmental Impact (by 2026)

🌬️ Air

  • Measurable 20% reduction in NO₂ concentrations in the Dantokpa perimeter

🌡️ Urban Climate

  • Creation of a "coolness corridor" observable on future Landsat images
  • 10% reduction in heat island surface area

🏛️ Governance

  • Operational dashboard for Cotonou City Hall
  • Real-time steering of environmental policy
  • Neighborhood-specific indicators for precise monitoring

🎯 Conclusion

This plan demonstrates how NASA Earth observation data can guide targeted and measurable pollution reduction in Cotonou, proposing hyper-localized solutions based on rigorous scientific analyses.

Key innovation: The data-driven approach maximizes intervention impact while optimizing the use of limited public resources.


Link to our presentation https://prezi.com/view/Rh5UDf1S1kGivhjzoz4X/?referral_token=BtmE8qlnB3FN

Link to our final projects

https://nasa-data-pathways-challenge-7.onrender.com/ https://07d64f5e5030db924cb50e6ec4ea3862.serveo.net https://410ac2a8123fe517ab941989baeed426.serveo.net/

Plan developed as part of the NASA Data Pathways Challenge - Hackathon 2025

About

Your challenge is to develop a project plan informed by NASA Earth science data that not only improves quality of life for residents of a fast-growing city, but takes environmental considerations into account. This challenge provides an opportunity to demonstrate the importance of Earth science data to people- and planet-conscious urban planning!

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